Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +58.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -0.8 | -24.2 | +0.7 | +24.3 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 21% | 11% | 24% | 44% | -7.8 | +10.1 | -0.7 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 17% | 17% | 24% | 43% | +1.5 | -13.1 | -1.3 | +12.9 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 10% | 21% | 54% | -1.6 | -2.0 | -7.2 | +10.8 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 6% | 13% | 67% | -9.3 | +38.3 | -10.8 | -18.3 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900 | 12% | 28% | 11% | 49% | +14.0 | -3.9 | -7.9 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 25% | 9% | 47% | -5.9 | -0.6 | -6.4 | +12.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 21% | 5% | 64% | -1.5 | -6.5 | +5.8 | +2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 14% | 9% | 68% | -2.4 | -0.3 | +5.4 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 15% | 11% | 65% | +58.7 | -16.1 | -23.5 | -19.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 74% | 2% | 0% | 24% | -3.8 | -1.1 | -0.5 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 3% | 0% | 31% | -16.9 | +2.3 | +1.3 | +13.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 34% | 5% | 0% | 61% | +35.0 | -1.8 | -2.7 | -30.6 |