Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +58.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -6.0 | -23.2 | +1.5 | +27.6 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 12% | 23% | 46% | -4.9 | +7.0 | +0.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 18% | 15% | 24% | 44% | -1.0 | -8.8 | -3.9 | +13.7 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 10% | 20% | 56% | -2.2 | -2.0 | -5.9 | +10.2 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 7% | 13% | 69% | -7.0 | +36.0 | -10.5 | -18.5 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900 | 12% | 28% | 12% | 49% | +15.7 | -2.4 | -6.7 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 26% | 10% | 43% | -8.1 | -2.4 | -4.9 | +15.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 10% | 21% | 7% | 63% | -1.4 | -5.8 | +4.3 | +2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 14% | 9% | 68% | -1.9 | -1.8 | +6.3 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 15% | 12% | 64% | +58.6 | -14.6 | -25.2 | -18.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 74% | 2% | 0% | 24% | -4.1 | -1.0 | -0.5 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 66% | 3% | 0% | 31% | -17.3 | +3.1 | +1.1 | +13.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 33% | 6% | 0% | 61% | +35.5 | -2.3 | -2.6 | -30.6 |