Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/5 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +31.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 27% | 24% | 23% | -18.0 | +30.3 | -7.8 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 14% | 49% | 18% | 19% | -2.7 | +3.5 | +4.0 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 11% | 53% | 20% | 16% | -1.4 | -13.7 | +0.9 | +14.2 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 41% | 21% | 26% | -9.5 | -11.4 | +31.7 | -10.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Asakura Koshin | 8% | 29% | 47% | 17% | +0.4 | +10.3 | -9.5 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 9% | 38% | 36% | 18% | +0.6 | -1.6 | +25.3 | -24.3 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 28% | 62% | 5% | +6.0 | -2.1 | -1.5 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 7% | 27% | 62% | 4% | +0.1 | -21.6 | +24.0 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 6% | 91% | 2% | +23.3 | -13.9 | -0.8 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 1% | 95% | 1% | -7.9 | +13.0 | -2.3 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -7.4 | +10.5 | +4.1 | -7.2 |