Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/5 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -19.6 | +32.7 | -4.9 | -8.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 49% | 19% | 19% | -1.6 | +1.6 | +3.8 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 12% | 50% | 22% | 17% | -1.1 | -11.8 | -1.1 | +13.9 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 39% | 22% | 27% | -9.4 | -10.3 | +32.5 | -12.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Koshin Asakura | 8% | 29% | 47% | 17% | -1.9 | +9.8 | -8.1 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 7% | 37% | 39% | 17% | +2.1 | -2.1 | +23.8 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 27% | 63% | 4% | +6.7 | -3.3 | -0.6 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 7% | 26% | 64% | 4% | -0.5 | -19.8 | +21.7 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 6% | 90% | 3% | +21.7 | -14.3 | +1.0 | -8.4 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 1% | 96% | 1% | -6.1 | +13.6 | -3.4 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -7.5 | +10.1 | +4.5 | -7.1 |