Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

12/6 Game 1

Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +28.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance	Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance	Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance	Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance	Okada Sayaka Expected pt change	Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change	Takamiya Mari Expected pt change	Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	24%	25%	25%	26%	+5.5	-1.1	-3.0	-1.4
East 1, 1 honba	Draw	29%	24%	23%	24%	+3.0	+1.9	-6.4	+1.6
East 1, 2 honba	Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700	31%	25%	19%	25%	-8.4	+15.1	-4.7	-2.0
East 2	Hagiwara Masato ron 1,300 from Takamiya Mari	23%	38%	16%	24%	+1.6	-3.2	-3.2	+4.7
East 3	Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	24%	33%	15%	28%	+25.2	-22.1	-3.9	+0.7
East 4	Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari	46%	18%	11%	26%	-1.9	-0.4	-12.0	+14.3
East 4, 1 honba	Okada Sayaka ron 3,200 from Takamiya Mari	42%	15%	7%	36%	+9.7	+1.1	-7.5	-3.4
South 1	Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000	52%	14%	5%	28%	+28.5	-10.9	-6.2	-11.4
South 1, 1 honba	Draw	83%	5%	1%	10%	-0.7	-2.4	-1.5	+4.5
South 2, 2 honba	Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000	84%	4%	1%	11%	+0.1	-16.1	+17.8	-1.8
South 3	Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari	89%	0%	2%	8%	+2.1	+3.8	-9.0	+3.1
South 4	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000	93%	0%	0%	7%	-2.1	-1.0	-2.5	+5.6
South 4, 1 honba	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 7,800	91%	0%	0%	9%	-8.4	-3.1	-2.9	+14.3
South 4, 2 honba	Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato	77%	0%	0%	23%	+10.9	+7.8	-6.8	-11.8