Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/8 Game 1
Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+68.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 18,000, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.1 | +1.1 | +9.6 | -9.5 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 25% | 32% | 19% | -7.2 | +16.8 | -6.3 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 37% | 27% | 18% | +2.7 | -10.6 | +5.8 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 20% | 28% | 33% | 19% | -0.1 | -1.1 | -5.8 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100 | 21% | 28% | 27% | 24% | +9.6 | -1.2 | -0.6 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 24,000 | 27% | 27% | 28% | 18% | +62.7 | -23.7 | -21.1 | -17.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 4% | 4% | 2% | -6.8 | -7.2 | +21.0 | -7.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 85% | 3% | 10% | 2% | +2.2 | -23.2 | +0.4 | +20.6 |
| South 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 18,000 | 89% | 0% | 8% | 4% | -27.1 | -6.9 | +45.3 | -11.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 38% | 0% | 60% | 2% | -6.7 | -1.5 | +3.8 | +4.3 |
| South 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 0% | 73% | 2% | -10.0 | -1.5 | +15.4 | -3.9 |