Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +29.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.7 | -4.1 | +23.0 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 21% | 42% | 21% | -3.3 | +2.0 | -4.0 | +5.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 23% | 38% | 25% | -3.8 | -7.0 | +13.7 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 12% | 16% | 50% | 21% | -1.5 | -3.3 | +5.2 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 14% | 54% | 21% | -6.5 | -7.1 | +26.9 | -13.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 5% | 5% | 83% | 7% | +3.6 | +1.7 | -2.4 | -2.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 6% | 82% | 7% | -15.9 | -10.2 | -10.8 | +36.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 3% | 5% | 68% | 25% | +0.9 | -3.7 | +0.7 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 4% | 67% | 26% | +9.9 | -5.6 | +1.9 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 3% | 73% | 19% | -21.7 | +18.4 | +3.7 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 0% | 4% | 79% | 16% | -1.5 | -3.6 | -23.5 | +28.7 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 2% | 41% | 58% | -3.0 | +8.2 | -3.6 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 3% | 40% | 58% | -0.3 | -4.6 | +29.1 | -24.2 |