Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 18,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +50.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -3.9 | -7.3 | +2.5 | +8.8 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 21% | 26% | 31% | +0.6 | -5.7 | -3.5 | +8.6 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 23% | 16% | 22% | 38% | +0.2 | -1.9 | +34.6 | -32.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 14% | 50% | 15% | +6.7 | -0.2 | -3.1 | -3.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 14% | 47% | 13% | -1.9 | +1.8 | +2.5 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 15% | 51% | 11% | -14.1 | -7.6 | +28.3 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 5% | 6% | 86% | 4% | -1.9 | -9.1 | -11.4 | +22.4 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,100 | 7% | 3% | 77% | 13% | -1.4 | -1.1 | +5.2 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 2% | 84% | 10% | -8.1 | -9.6 | -8.8 | +26.5 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 18,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 2% | 0% | 75% | 23% | +2.2 | -23.1 | -29.1 | +50.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -2.7 | +8.4 | -1.9 | -3.8 |