Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 18,000 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +49.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.9 | -4.3 | +0.7 | +6.4 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 22% | 26% | 30% | -1.7 | -7.5 | -0.4 | +9.7 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 21% | 16% | 25% | 38% | +2.6 | +0.3 | +30.3 | -33.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 15% | 51% | 13% | +5.3 | -2.0 | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 24% | 14% | 47% | 15% | +1.6 | 0.0 | +4.1 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 13% | 53% | 10% | -15.1 | -6.3 | +26.5 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 5% | 6% | 86% | 4% | -2.3 | -7.5 | -10.6 | +20.3 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100 | 8% | 3% | 78% | 11% | -0.7 | -2.2 | +3.1 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 2% | 81% | 11% | -10.0 | -9.3 | -7.6 | +26.9 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 18,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 0% | 75% | 24% | +2.8 | -23.2 | -29.1 | +49.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -2.8 | +8.6 | -1.6 | -4.1 |