Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+52.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +58.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -3.8 | +1.9 | 0.0 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 30% | 24% | 26% | +7.4 | -6.8 | -2.8 | +2.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 22% | 24% | 28% | +21.0 | -4.6 | -10.8 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 45% | 18% | 15% | 22% | +0.7 | +7.3 | -1.2 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 46% | 24% | 14% | 16% | +19.1 | -8.9 | -5.6 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 67% | 13% | 8% | 12% | -0.3 | +22.5 | +0.8 | -23.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 66% | 24% | 7% | 4% | -5.0 | +14.6 | +0.2 | -9.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 54% | 38% | 6% | 2% | +11.5 | -25.5 | -2.8 | +16.8 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 79% | 10% | 6% | 5% | -0.6 | -1.1 | +12.2 | -10.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 77% | 10% | 10% | 3% | +5.1 | -29.5 | -0.5 | +25.0 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 90% | 1% | 1% | 7% | -48.0 | -3.4 | -6.9 | +58.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 4% | 6% | 75% | -0.9 | -11.5 | +2.7 | +9.7 |