Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+52.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +57.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -2.6 | +3.1 | -2.4 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 28% | 24% | 26% | +5.4 | -4.1 | -3.2 | +1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 21% | 28% | +23.6 | -6.3 | -9.8 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 46% | 19% | 14% | 21% | -0.6 | +6.9 | -2.6 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 6,000 | 46% | 23% | 14% | 18% | +19.2 | -8.8 | -4.0 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 67% | 14% | 8% | 11% | -1.6 | +23.7 | +0.4 | -22.5 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 64% | 25% | 7% | 4% | -4.8 | +13.1 | +1.5 | -9.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 53% | 38% | 7% | 2% | +12.1 | -25.4 | -3.4 | +16.7 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 79% | 10% | 6% | 5% | -0.1 | -0.3 | +9.7 | -9.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 78% | 10% | 8% | 4% | +4.8 | -31.3 | +1.7 | +24.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 90% | 1% | 1% | 8% | -48.6 | -1.8 | -7.3 | +57.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 4% | 5% | 76% | -0.3 | -11.8 | +3.0 | +9.2 |