Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+73.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 32,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +86.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -3.6 | -21.0 | +23.1 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 16,000 | 21% | 12% | 42% | 26% | -8.6 | -16.3 | +36.1 | -11.2 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 8% | 3% | 77% | 11% | +7.5 | -6.7 | -0.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 2% | 78% | 10% | +3.2 | +1.9 | +0.4 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 11% | 3% | 80% | 7% | -4.3 | -14.9 | +17.5 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 0% | 96% | 3% | +1.6 | -4.1 | +0.7 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +2.0 | -3.3 | +1.4 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 32,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -4.7 | -0.3 | -81.2 | +86.2 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +12.7 | +0.2 | -11.8 | -1.1 |