Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

12/12 Game 1

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+73.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 32,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +86.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Shiratori Sho● Katsumata Kenji● Sasaki Hisato● Kobayashi Go0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Shiratori● Katsumata● Sasaki● Kobayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKatsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
East 1Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato23%26%25%26%-2.5-20.5+24.4-1.4
East 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 16,00021%13%42%24%-7.0-20.0+35.2-8.2
East 3Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato9%3%76%12%+6.9-6.0-0.4-0.5
East 4Draw11%2%76%11%+3.0+2.4+0.6-6.0
South 1, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato12%2%79%7%-4.0-15.1+18.2+0.9
South 2Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato1%0%97%2%+2.0-4.8+0.2+2.6
South 3Draw0%0%98%2%+1.5-2.9+1.3+0.1
South 3, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 32,000 from Kobayashi Go1%0%98%1%-4.2-0.1-81.9+86.2
South 4Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go0%0%0%100%+12.0+0.4-11.1-1.2

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)