Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +23.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -12.9 | +23.6 | -5.2 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,400 | 16% | 41% | 22% | 21% | +18.8 | -8.0 | -5.4 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 34% | 20% | 18% | -2.7 | +17.9 | -8.5 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 51% | 11% | 15% | -3.4 | +6.2 | +3.1 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 20% | 59% | 12% | 10% | -9.8 | +5.0 | -6.0 | +10.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 68% | 9% | 12% | -3.6 | -1.7 | +10.2 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,500 from Asakura Koshin | 8% | 69% | 13% | 10% | -0.8 | +0.9 | +9.1 | -9.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 8% | 70% | 15% | 7% | -1.2 | +12.7 | -1.5 | -10.1 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 91% | 4% | 4% | +22.2 | +4.4 | -17.4 | -9.2 |