Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Satoshi Fujisaki finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Satoshi Fujisaki's expected points by +22.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -11.5 | +22.1 | -6.6 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,400 | 16% | 44% | 20% | 20% | +18.0 | -8.3 | -3.2 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 37% | 19% | 18% | -2.4 | +15.6 | -8.7 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 51% | 11% | 15% | -1.8 | +6.1 | +2.0 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 21% | 58% | 11% | 9% | -12.1 | +4.3 | -3.5 | +11.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 66% | 10% | 13% | -3.0 | +1.2 | +7.5 | -5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 1,500 from Koshin Asakura | 8% | 72% | 11% | 10% | -1.6 | -1.6 | +11.7 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura | 7% | 69% | 17% | 8% | -1.0 | +13.6 | -2.2 | -10.5 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 2% | 92% | 3% | 4% | +22.8 | +3.9 | -17.3 | -9.4 |