Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+72.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +7.8 | +3.4 | -9.6 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 31% | 27% | 18% | 25% | -0.2 | -3.1 | +6.3 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 7,700 from Maruyama Kanako | 31% | 24% | 23% | 23% | -0.6 | +21.2 | -22.0 | +1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 39% | 11% | 22% | +16.8 | -9.3 | -2.6 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 3,000 | 43% | 29% | 10% | 18% | -4.8 | -2.5 | +11.5 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 39% | 29% | 14% | 17% | -5.6 | +2.7 | -3.1 | +6.0 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 35% | 31% | 12% | 22% | +27.1 | -24.5 | +0.7 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,900 | 65% | 11% | 10% | 14% | +8.7 | -2.8 | -1.9 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 74% | 9% | 8% | 10% | +0.5 | +3.5 | -7.9 | +3.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 74% | 10% | 5% | 11% | +18.6 | -4.3 | -6.7 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 90% | 4% | 2% | 4% | -2.1 | +3.9 | +1.2 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 91% | 4% | 2% | 3% | +1.9 | -38.6 | +37.5 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 93% | 0% | 4% | 2% | +4.2 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
| South 4 | Maruyama Kanako ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.7 | -0.8 | +5.2 | -3.7 |