Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+72.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +26.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Kanako Maruyama | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +10.4 | -0.5 | -10.0 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 31% | 24% | 20% | 25% | +0.2 | -0.5 | +2.8 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 7,700 from Kanako Maruyama | 33% | 23% | 21% | 23% | -1.7 | +19.6 | -17.4 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 37% | 12% | 21% | +15.3 | -5.8 | -5.1 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 3,000 | 43% | 31% | 9% | 17% | -4.2 | -4.7 | +12.6 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 40% | 28% | 15% | 17% | -5.3 | +2.9 | -4.6 | +6.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 34% | 32% | 12% | 22% | +26.6 | -22.6 | +0.4 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,900 | 64% | 13% | 10% | 13% | +7.7 | -2.9 | -2.7 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 10% | 7% | 11% | +0.4 | +2.0 | -5.4 | +2.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 72% | 10% | 6% | 11% | +19.9 | -4.7 | -7.1 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 4% | 2% | 4% | -2.5 | +4.0 | +2.1 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 91% | 4% | 2% | 3% | +1.5 | -38.3 | +36.5 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 93% | 0% | 5% | 2% | +5.2 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Kanako Maruyama ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -1.1 | -0.8 | +5.0 | -3.1 |