Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+77.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sawazaki Makoto ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +69.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.8 | -5.1 | +12.1 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 21% | 22% | 34% | 23% | -21.4 | -2.1 | +21.5 | +2.0 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 16% | 51% | 24% | +22.3 | -5.2 | -11.7 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 3,000 | 21% | 16% | 41% | 22% | -1.8 | -3.5 | -3.7 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 15% | 37% | 28% | -2.8 | +3.8 | -1.6 | +0.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 17% | 37% | 27% | -10.0 | +30.6 | -6.1 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 40% | 30% | 17% | -15.6 | -5.5 | +28.1 | -7.0 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 27% | 59% | 10% | -1.9 | -5.8 | +9.8 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 16% | 74% | 8% | -6.2 | +8.3 | -0.5 | -1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 16% | 78% | 6% | -5.4 | -4.5 | -4.8 | +14.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 16% | 72% | 12% | +9.4 | -53.6 | -25.1 | +69.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -23.4 | +10.5 | -2.8 | +15.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.9 | +0.4 | +2.1 | -1.6 |