Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/16 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+100.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +40.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -25.1 | +24.5 | -1.3 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 10% | 43% | 21% | 25% | -1.3 | -33.1 | +1.6 | +32.9 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 9% | 15% | 22% | 54% | -23.0 | -1.9 | +31.7 | -6.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 18,000 from Yudai Maehara | 3% | 12% | 45% | 40% | +5.0 | -35.8 | +38.2 | -7.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,500 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 1% | 80% | 18% | -1.9 | -0.3 | +1.9 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 1% | 81% | 17% | -4.1 | +4.5 | +0.7 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 84% | 15% | -0.2 | -1.5 | -2.2 | +3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 81% | 17% | -0.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 1% | 80% | 19% | -9.4 | -6.5 | -24.5 | +40.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,500 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 34% | 65% | -4.1 | +0.5 | -1.2 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 71% | -6.0 | -3.4 | -12.7 | +22.1 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 0% | 9% | 91% | +13.4 | -12.7 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -4.4 | +3.8 | -0.3 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -9.4 | +15.5 | -2.8 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 94% | -6.7 | +12.2 | -2.6 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -2.8 | -0.3 | +3.0 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -0.8 | +0.1 | -5.2 | +5.9 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.7 | -2.2 | -2.7 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -9.2 | +0.2 | +9.9 | -1.0 |