Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/16 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+100.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -24.1 | +24.6 | +0.9 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 10% | 41% | 24% | 24% | +0.5 | -34.7 | -1.2 | +35.5 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 10% | 14% | 21% | 55% | -24.6 | +0.5 | +32.7 | -8.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 18,000 from Maehara Yudai | 3% | 12% | 46% | 40% | +5.6 | -35.7 | +36.4 | -6.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,500 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 1% | 79% | 19% | -4.6 | -0.1 | +3.4 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 1% | 81% | 17% | -1.3 | +3.8 | -0.8 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 84% | 15% | -1.1 | +0.1 | -2.4 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 80% | 18% | -1.7 | -2.4 | +1.7 | +2.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 1% | 80% | 19% | -8.6 | -6.2 | -24.8 | +39.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,500 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 36% | 64% | -5.1 | +0.6 | -1.6 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 70% | -4.0 | -4.4 | -14.0 | +22.4 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | +11.5 | -11.7 | +2.0 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 9% | 91% | -3.7 | +3.0 | -2.4 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 95% | -9.6 | +16.2 | -1.5 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -6.9 | +12.2 | -2.6 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -2.7 | -0.7 | +2.4 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -0.6 | +0.5 | -5.1 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.4 | +7.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -9.3 | +0.5 | +9.9 | -1.1 |