Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/16 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+71.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +23.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -1.7 | +0.9 | +21.9 | -21.1 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 23% | 40% | 15% | -1.9 | +8.7 | -3.0 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 22% | 29% | 36% | 13% | -9.0 | -2.1 | +1.1 | +9.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 28% | 39% | 18% | +0.6 | -3.3 | +5.0 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 24% | 43% | 15% | -5.3 | -3.0 | +5.5 | +2.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 14% | 21% | 48% | 17% | -12.3 | +16.0 | -3.2 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,700 | 8% | 33% | 44% | 16% | -1.1 | -0.3 | +9.1 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 30% | 54% | 9% | -13.2 | -8.4 | +23.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 13% | 83% | 5% | -0.9 | -12.5 | +12.8 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | +27.0 | -24.1 | -0.6 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -27.2 | +6.0 | +1.2 | +20.0 |