Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

12/16 Game 2

Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+71.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +22.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance	Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance	Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance	Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance	Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change	Mari Takamiya Expected pt change	Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change	Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change
East 1	Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata	27%	24%	24%	25%	-2.1	+1.1	+21.2	-20.2
East 2	Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000	23%	24%	39%	14%	-3.7	+9.6	-3.2	-2.8
East 2, 1 honba	Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara	20%	30%	38%	13%	-4.7	-3.0	-0.6	+8.4
East 3	Exhaustive draw	19%	28%	37%	17%	-3.1	-2.6	+7.0	-1.3
East 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	17%	25%	44%	15%	-3.3	-2.9	+2.3	+3.9
East 3, 2 honba	Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara	14%	23%	45%	18%	-11.6	+14.4	-0.6	-2.2
East 4	Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,700	9%	33%	43%	15%	-2.4	-0.3	+10.1	-7.4
South 1	Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000	7%	30%	55%	9%	-12.2	-7.2	+22.4	-3.0
South 2	Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya	0%	14%	82%	4%	-2.5	-12.6	+12.6	+2.6
South 3	Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya	0%	1%	97%	2%	+28.2	-25.0	-0.5	-2.6
South 4	Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara	0%	0%	98%	2%	-27.6	+6.3	+1.6	+19.7

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)