Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Go Kobayashi tsumo 9,600, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +39.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 24% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -7.9 | +1.5 | +6.1 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 19% | 24% | 30% | 27% | +0.9 | -14.8 | +15.5 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 15% | 42% | 25% | -2.9 | +6.6 | -2.1 | -1.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 17% | 19% | 40% | 23% | -0.9 | -7.7 | +10.6 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 7,700 from Go Kobayashi | 14% | 14% | 53% | 19% | +27.4 | +2.0 | -5.1 | -24.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 6,400 from Mari Takamiya | 34% | 13% | 45% | 8% | +0.6 | +19.8 | -19.1 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 7,800 | 36% | 28% | 27% | 9% | -10.5 | +30.2 | -13.6 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 21% | 58% | 15% | 5% | -27.3 | +1.7 | +27.2 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 5% | 60% | 30% | 4% | -4.4 | +11.5 | -25.0 | +17.9 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 9,600 | 2% | 85% | 4% | 9% | -11.5 | -10.5 | -17.0 | +39.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 69% | 2% | 28% | -3.4 | -24.4 | -2.8 | +30.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 15% | 2% | 83% | -5.4 | -3.6 | +3.3 | +5.7 |