Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kobayashi Go tsumo 9,600, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -10.2 | -1.1 | +9.4 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 19% | 24% | 31% | 26% | +0.3 | -14.9 | +14.9 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 15% | 42% | 25% | +0.2 | +5.1 | -3.5 | -1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 19% | 18% | 39% | 25% | -3.1 | -4.8 | +10.5 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 16% | 13% | 51% | 20% | +26.7 | +1.1 | -3.7 | -24.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 6,400 from Takamiya Mari | 32% | 14% | 46% | 8% | +1.4 | +21.3 | -19.8 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 7,800 | 37% | 28% | 27% | 9% | -12.0 | +29.3 | -12.8 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 20% | 58% | 16% | 6% | -26.8 | +1.8 | +26.9 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 4% | 61% | 31% | 4% | -3.4 | +10.5 | -25.9 | +18.8 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 9,600 | 2% | 85% | 4% | 9% | -11.7 | -10.1 | -16.0 | +37.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 70% | 3% | 27% | -2.9 | -23.1 | -3.9 | +29.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 17% | 1% | 81% | -6.0 | -5.0 | +3.9 | +7.1 |