Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

12/17 Game 2

Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+71.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Wakutsu Akira, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +36.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance	Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance	Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Asakura Koshin Expected pt change	Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change
East 1	Asakura Koshin ron 6,400 from Wakutsu Akira	27%	23%	24%	26%	-19.5	+1.1	+18.1	+0.3
East 2	Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira	14%	22%	38%	26%	-27.8	+31.7	-2.0	-2.0
East 2, 1 honba	Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	4%	45%	32%	20%	+0.5	-23.7	+0.4	+22.8
East 3	Draw	4%	24%	33%	39%	+0.6	+4.6	-9.1	+3.9
East 4, 1 honba	Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Wakutsu Akira	4%	27%	25%	44%	-6.4	-2.8	-1.5	+10.8
East 4, 2 honba	Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Wakutsu Akira	3%	23%	22%	53%	-7.3	-1.1	-2.8	+11.2
East 4, 3 honba	Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Wakutsu Akira	2%	19%	16%	64%	-8.0	+15.8	-2.9	-4.9
South 1	Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	1%	30%	13%	57%	-2.2	-22.5	+2.3	+22.3
South 2	Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000	0%	7%	8%	85%	-2.7	-17.8	+27.4	-6.9
South 3	Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000	0%	1%	24%	75%	-4.2	-4.9	+33.2	-24.0
South 3, 1 honba	Wakutsu Akira tsumo 5,200	0%	0%	76%	24%	+6.0	-1.2	-2.6	-2.3
South 4	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800	0%	0%	79%	21%	-2.5	-2.7	-25.3	+30.4
South 4, 1 honba	Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Wakutsu Akira	0%	0%	22%	78%	-4.4	+0.5	+36.1	-32.2

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)