Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+71.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Akira Wakutsu, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 6,400 from Akira Wakutsu | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -16.3 | -0.5 | +16.0 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 14% | 23% | 37% | 26% | -26.5 | +29.9 | -2.1 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 44% | 31% | 21% | -0.9 | -22.5 | +3.0 | +20.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 25% | 34% | 37% | +0.8 | +4.2 | -11.7 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 5% | 28% | 23% | 45% | -7.1 | -1.0 | -2.9 | +10.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Akira Wakutsu | 2% | 23% | 19% | 55% | -7.1 | -2.6 | +0.2 | +9.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 1% | 19% | 15% | 65% | -7.6 | +13.9 | -1.9 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 28% | 14% | 57% | -2.7 | -21.1 | +2.1 | +21.6 |
| South 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 7% | 8% | 85% | -2.7 | -17.7 | +26.0 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 23% | 77% | -3.9 | -5.3 | +34.3 | -25.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 76% | 24% | +5.8 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 80% | 20% | -2.5 | -2.4 | -25.8 | +30.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Akira Wakutsu | 0% | 0% | 22% | 78% | -4.3 | +0.4 | +35.9 | -32.0 |