Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/19 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +2.9 | -0.1 | +4.7 | -7.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | +19.6 | -6.7 | -5.7 | -7.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 42% | 21% | 22% | 16% | -2.0 | +0.4 | -14.2 | +15.8 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 21% | 15% | 25% | -3.9 | -14.3 | +23.7 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 36% | 12% | 29% | 23% | +34.0 | +2.0 | -4.2 | -31.8 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 70% | 8% | 16% | 6% | +5.7 | +1.0 | -2.0 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 80% | 6% | 12% | 3% | -0.5 | -1.9 | +3.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Maruyama Kanako ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 81% | 5% | 11% | 3% | -1.0 | +31.2 | -30.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 78% | 16% | 4% | 2% | +9.5 | -4.7 | -2.7 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 92% | 5% | 2% | 1% | +9.9 | -1.5 | -4.2 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -26.3 | +2.1 | -14.6 | +38.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 80% | 11% | 0% | 9% | -2.1 | -3.1 | -1.1 | +6.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,900 | 76% | 11% | 0% | 13% | -4.1 | -12.4 | -2.1 | +18.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 72% | 8% | 0% | 20% | -1.1 | -5.0 | +0.8 | +5.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 67% | 7% | 0% | 26% | -11.8 | -2.9 | -3.7 | +18.5 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 2% | 0% | 58% | +21.9 | -25.7 | +33.5 | -29.7 |