Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Akira Wakutsu tsumo 18,000, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +51.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -23.3 | -0.9 | +0.9 | +23.3 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 24% | 23% | 41% | -2.6 | -14.3 | -4.5 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 8% | 12% | 18% | 63% | -2.1 | +23.4 | -23.9 | +2.6 |
| East 4 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 24% | 6% | 64% | -7.9 | -8.0 | +24.2 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 5% | 20% | 16% | 59% | -2.1 | -10.4 | 0.0 | +12.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 11% | 12% | 75% | +4.8 | +3.3 | -5.1 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 14% | 11% | 72% | -6.3 | -13.5 | +18.1 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 4% | 18% | 77% | -9.0 | -10.6 | +51.2 | -31.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 0% | 85% | 15% | +3.0 | -7.8 | +5.8 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 90% | 10% | -7.6 | +3.3 | +5.8 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | +29.2 | -18.2 | -6.7 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -4.2 | +3.3 | -2.7 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 0% | 91% | 9% | +2.7 | -5.5 | +6.9 | -4.1 |