Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 18,000, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +51.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -22.5 | +2.5 | -2.3 | +22.3 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 26% | 21% | 41% | -3.5 | -15.0 | -4.6 | +23.0 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 8% | 11% | 16% | 64% | +0.2 | +21.6 | -21.4 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 24% | 6% | 63% | -7.6 | -8.0 | +23.8 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 7% | 20% | 17% | 56% | -3.4 | -9.9 | -0.2 | +13.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 11% | 12% | 75% | +3.7 | +2.5 | -2.7 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 13% | 13% | 71% | -5.5 | -11.7 | +14.5 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 4% | 17% | 77% | -8.4 | -11.5 | +51.5 | -31.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 1% | 84% | 16% | +2.1 | -7.7 | +6.7 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -6.6 | +1.9 | +7.2 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | +28.4 | -17.0 | -7.8 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -4.0 | +3.0 | -2.9 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 91% | 9% | +2.6 | -5.2 | +6.6 | -3.9 |