Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/16 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+49.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -9.8 | -3.7 | +14.9 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 17% | 22% | 36% | 25% | -20.2 | -1.4 | -1.2 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 20% | 32% | 40% | -0.2 | +13.8 | -15.9 | +2.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 8% | 29% | 20% | 43% | -2.1 | -2.4 | -2.3 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 7% | 25% | 18% | 50% | -1.8 | +2.4 | +40.8 | -41.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 6% | 25% | 56% | 13% | +5.2 | -3.8 | -1.5 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 3,900 | 7% | 23% | 55% | 15% | +12.5 | -3.9 | -3.8 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 12% | 23% | 52% | 14% | +24.0 | -18.8 | -4.6 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 13% | 46% | 14% | -7.7 | -3.3 | +14.7 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 10% | 65% | 10% | -18.0 | +40.6 | -11.1 | -11.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 36% | 49% | 7% | -2.3 | -0.8 | -1.1 | +4.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 36% | 48% | 8% | -13.0 | -6.0 | +0.2 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 3% | 27% | 56% | 15% | -4.8 | -5.8 | +20.3 | -9.7 |