Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/16 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+49.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +41.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -11.9 | -2.3 | +16.4 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 18% | 22% | 38% | 23% | -20.4 | -2.4 | -1.5 | +24.4 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 8% | 18% | 33% | 42% | -2.2 | +15.1 | -14.7 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 28% | 22% | 43% | +1.2 | -2.2 | -4.7 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 8% | 26% | 17% | 50% | -3.1 | +1.6 | +41.9 | -40.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 27% | 56% | 13% | +7.6 | -2.6 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 3,900 | 10% | 24% | 53% | 14% | +11.5 | -4.4 | -1.8 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 13% | 23% | 53% | 12% | +23.4 | -21.1 | -3.6 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 11% | 47% | 14% | -10.0 | -2.4 | +16.3 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 9% | 68% | 9% | -14.4 | +40.6 | -14.5 | -11.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 35% | 49% | 7% | -4.6 | -0.7 | -0.1 | +5.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 35% | 48% | 10% | -11.8 | -5.2 | -1.3 | +18.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 28% | 53% | 16% | -5.4 | -5.9 | +21.7 | -10.3 |