Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/17 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Akina Mizuhara ron 24,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +55.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -6.1 | -2.7 | +8.6 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 22% | 31% | 26% | -1.3 | -2.4 | -3.1 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 24,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 21% | 21% | 27% | 32% | -0.5 | -50.8 | +55.9 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 1% | 76% | 13% | +2.8 | +1.6 | -2.2 | -2.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 1% | 75% | 14% | +8.5 | -2.7 | -0.2 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 6,400 | 13% | 1% | 77% | 9% | -9.1 | -2.2 | +14.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 1% | 93% | 4% | -3.7 | +9.1 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 1% | 93% | 4% | +2.6 | +3.0 | -1.2 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 3% | 1% | 92% | 3% | -8.5 | -5.2 | +0.5 | +13.2 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 94% | 6% | +26.3 | -5.2 | -7.9 | -13.2 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 0% | 91% | 3% | -2.5 | -0.9 | -1.9 | +5.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 5% | 0% | 89% | 6% | +2.9 | +0.2 | +5.1 | -8.2 |