Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/17 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Mizuhara Akina ron 24,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +55.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -3.7 | -0.6 | +4.3 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 25% | 29% | 25% | -2.5 | -6.2 | -0.2 | +8.9 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 24,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 20% | 20% | 28% | 32% | -0.8 | -49.6 | +55.7 | -5.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 1% | 75% | 15% | +3.4 | +1.1 | -3.1 | -1.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 1% | 74% | 14% | +8.2 | -2.3 | +2.3 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,400 | 12% | 1% | 79% | 8% | -9.8 | -1.9 | +13.2 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 1% | 93% | 4% | -2.8 | +8.3 | -1.9 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 94% | 4% | +1.5 | +4.1 | -2.1 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 3% | 1% | 92% | 4% | -6.7 | -5.9 | +1.5 | +11.1 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | +24.7 | -5.1 | -8.7 | -10.9 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 0% | 91% | 4% | -2.0 | -1.2 | -1.7 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 5% | 0% | 89% | 6% | +2.8 | +0.4 | +5.0 | -8.2 |