Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/17 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akira Wakutsu ron 1,300 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -1.7 | -0.7 | +7.4 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 23% | 25% | 30% | 22% | -1.8 | -1.7 | +12.6 | -9.2 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 20% | 22% | 40% | 18% | +20.5 | +0.1 | -4.8 | -15.7 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 6,000 | 35% | 22% | 34% | 10% | -3.8 | -5.8 | -6.6 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 20% | 30% | 18% | +1.7 | +3.4 | -6.2 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 36% | 21% | 25% | 18% | -0.4 | +0.5 | +12.4 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 21% | 35% | 11% | -6.2 | -7.5 | +0.8 | +13.0 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 29% | 18% | 37% | 17% | -29.7 | -5.7 | -0.8 | +36.2 |
| South 3 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 2,100 | 9% | 11% | 32% | 49% | -3.1 | -0.5 | +15.1 | -11.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 6,400 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 8% | 10% | 51% | 31% | +1.5 | -23.0 | -11.3 | +32.8 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 0% | 21% | 78% | -5.2 | -3.9 | -12.2 | +21.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +2.7 | -6.7 | +7.5 | -3.6 |