Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/17 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Wakutsu Akira ron 1,300 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +0.3 | +0.8 | +3.7 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 24% | 26% | 28% | 22% | -2.6 | -2.8 | +14.1 | -8.7 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 23% | 22% | 38% | 17% | +21.1 | +0.1 | -5.5 | -15.7 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 6,000 | 38% | 21% | 31% | 10% | -8.2 | -5.9 | -4.3 | +18.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 20% | 30% | 18% | +2.9 | +5.2 | -8.4 | +0.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 34% | 22% | 24% | 20% | +1.0 | -3.1 | +14.6 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 20% | 35% | 11% | -7.0 | -6.2 | -1.5 | +14.7 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 29% | 18% | 34% | 20% | -30.3 | -3.0 | +0.2 | +33.0 |
| South 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 2,100 | 10% | 13% | 30% | 47% | -2.7 | -2.8 | +14.7 | -9.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 6,400 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 7% | 10% | 49% | 33% | +1.7 | -22.4 | -9.7 | +30.4 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 22% | 76% | -5.0 | -4.5 | -12.1 | +21.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +2.3 | -6.3 | +7.2 | -3.2 |