Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/19 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +70.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 9,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +21.0 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -19.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 1,500 | 42% | 22% | 23% | 13% | -0.6 | +4.2 | -0.9 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 25% | 23% | 12% | +7.5 | -6.7 | +2.1 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 20% | 22% | 10% | -3.2 | +12.8 | -5.3 | -4.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 44% | 29% | 18% | 9% | -9.0 | +11.7 | +1.7 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 35% | 39% | 20% | 6% | +1.0 | +5.3 | -29.6 | +23.3 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 35% | 46% | 6% | 13% | +6.2 | -48.8 | +44.5 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 9% | 29% | 15% | +2.9 | +0.9 | -6.7 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 10% | 19% | 16% | +8.2 | -6.2 | -5.0 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 18,000 | 65% | 7% | 13% | 15% | -35.3 | -13.7 | -21.9 | +70.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -23.8 | +4.6 | +9.4 | +9.8 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.3 | -10.0 | +13.4 | -3.1 |