Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/19 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +69.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 9,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | +21.1 | +2.2 | -0.4 | -22.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,500 | 42% | 23% | 23% | 12% | -2.0 | +4.4 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 41% | 27% | 21% | 12% | +6.8 | -7.8 | +4.1 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 18% | 24% | 10% | -2.6 | +11.6 | -6.9 | -2.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 45% | 27% | 18% | 10% | -9.9 | +16.0 | +0.8 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 34% | 42% | 19% | 6% | +1.1 | +1.5 | -26.6 | +24.0 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 35% | 44% | 7% | 14% | +7.9 | -49.2 | +41.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 48% | 8% | 28% | 16% | +2.3 | +1.1 | -3.7 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 54% | 10% | 20% | 15% | +6.6 | -5.0 | -7.0 | +5.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 18,000 | 63% | 8% | 13% | 16% | -33.2 | -13.3 | -23.2 | +69.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 2% | 0% | 0% | 97% | -24.9 | +5.0 | +10.4 | +9.5 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.2 | -11.0 | +13.9 | -3.0 |