Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Semifinals

3/20 Game 1

Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +24.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Hinata Aiko● Uotani Yuumi● Hagiwara Masato● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hinata● Uotani● Hagiwara● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,00024%24%25%27%-13.8+24.3-5.6-4.9
East 2Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Hagiwara Masato15%42%21%23%+0.8+19.8-17.1-3.5
East 2, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 4,00013%59%11%17%-0.8-8.4-5.4+14.6
East 3Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,00013%52%9%26%-4.9+22.4-10.8-6.7
East 4Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,0007%75%3%15%-3.0+15.0-1.5-10.5
South 1Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,2003%91%2%5%-9.0+0.7+10.6-2.3
South 2Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,2001%95%2%3%+14.5-3.5-8.1-3.0
South 3Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,0001%95%2%3%-15.3-5.9+34.9-13.7
South 3, 1 honbaDraw0%91%6%3%+7.7+2.3-2.3-7.7
South 4, 2 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko1%97%1%2%+30.0-7.3-12.3-10.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)