Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/20 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -12.3 | +24.1 | -5.8 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Masato Hagiwara | 16% | 43% | 21% | 21% | +2.0 | +17.0 | -19.2 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 58% | 10% | 18% | -3.5 | -6.0 | -3.2 | +12.7 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 52% | 9% | 26% | -4.3 | +20.5 | -8.2 | -8.0 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 75% | 4% | 14% | -3.4 | +17.1 | -4.7 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 92% | 1% | 4% | -9.0 | -0.3 | +11.8 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | +14.4 | -4.1 | -8.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -15.2 | -5.4 | +35.7 | -15.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 90% | 7% | 3% | +7.8 | +2.5 | -3.1 | -7.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | +30.2 | -7.4 | -12.4 | -10.3 |