Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/20 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 24% | 24% | 26% | 27% | -23.1 | +22.8 | -0.6 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 40% | 23% | 25% | +5.7 | -2.8 | -1.9 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 38% | 23% | 24% | -6.4 | -5.6 | -13.6 | +25.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 31% | 12% | 46% | -1.5 | +0.6 | -0.1 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 9% | 31% | 12% | 48% | +21.9 | -2.0 | -17.6 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 30% | 7% | 43% | +38.2 | -14.6 | -8.8 | -14.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 17% | 4% | 25% | +4.3 | -1.7 | -0.9 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 59% | 15% | 4% | 23% | +2.9 | 0.0 | +27.2 | -30.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 14% | 10% | 8% | +5.1 | -1.6 | -2.4 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Akira Wakutsu | 78% | 7% | 8% | 8% | +10.9 | +3.9 | -3.0 | -11.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 2% | 0% | 3% | +5.3 | +5.8 | +0.2 | -11.3 |