Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/20 Game 2
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +39.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 27% | 24% | 23% | -22.1 | +20.8 | -2.2 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 42% | 23% | 24% | +6.4 | -4.0 | -0.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 38% | 24% | 24% | -7.6 | -4.4 | -14.9 | +26.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 33% | 12% | 44% | -0.1 | +0.4 | +0.8 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 10% | 33% | 13% | 44% | +20.5 | -4.4 | -16.5 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 29% | 7% | 44% | +39.0 | -15.9 | -8.7 | -14.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 54% | 15% | 3% | 27% | +4.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 60% | 13% | 4% | 23% | +3.1 | +1.3 | +24.9 | -29.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 69% | 14% | 10% | 8% | +5.9 | -2.2 | -2.0 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Wakutsu Akira | 79% | 6% | 8% | 6% | +10.0 | +2.9 | -2.1 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 95% | 1% | 0% | 3% | +5.1 | +6.7 | -0.5 | -11.4 |