Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/21 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -3.5 | +5.8 | -0.3 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 30% | 24% | 24% | -5.9 | +14.6 | -4.5 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 40% | 20% | 21% | -1.0 | +20.5 | +0.4 | -19.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 14% | 59% | 17% | 10% | +6.0 | -3.9 | +1.9 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 19% | 55% | 18% | 8% | -1.8 | -4.1 | +6.6 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 50% | 22% | 8% | -2.4 | +28.8 | -5.6 | -20.7 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 80% | 10% | 2% | +12.4 | +1.9 | -10.9 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 83% | 5% | 1% | +26.6 | -13.7 | -9.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 34% | 62% | 3% | 1% | -4.9 | +6.5 | -0.2 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 71% | 3% | 1% | +18.3 | -8.6 | +0.5 | -10.2 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,200 from Shiratori Sho | 47% | 52% | 2% | 0% | -7.0 | +12.6 | -2.1 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 73% | 0% | 0% | +33.3 | -29.8 | +0.2 | -3.7 |