Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/23 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +51.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -3.5 | -9.0 | +0.6 | +11.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 20% | 26% | 32% | +2.3 | -8.9 | +0.3 | +6.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 14% | 24% | 38% | -16.4 | -16.5 | +51.4 | -18.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 4% | 71% | 15% | -4.4 | -4.4 | -11.5 | +20.3 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 8% | 5% | 57% | 30% | -2.2 | +16.6 | +6.2 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 8% | 8% | 70% | 14% | -6.7 | -0.9 | +3.4 | +4.2 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 2% | 6% | 76% | 16% | +0.3 | -11.6 | +10.3 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 90% | 9% | +1.9 | -4.1 | -1.4 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 9% | -17.6 | +18.1 | +2.6 | -3.2 |