Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/23 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +50.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -3.1 | -9.3 | +2.7 | +9.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 20% | 25% | 32% | +2.2 | -9.5 | +1.3 | +6.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 13% | 26% | 37% | -15.3 | -15.0 | +50.8 | -20.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 5% | 71% | 15% | -6.6 | -6.2 | -11.5 | +24.3 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 8% | 4% | 57% | 31% | -0.5 | +19.0 | +5.0 | -23.6 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 8% | 8% | 69% | 14% | -7.6 | -2.3 | +4.6 | +5.4 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 2% | 6% | 76% | 15% | +0.5 | -12.0 | +10.3 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 90% | 9% | +2.6 | -4.7 | -2.0 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 10% | -18.3 | +18.8 | +2.9 | -3.4 |