Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/24 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +15.5 | -3.4 | -5.4 | -6.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 36% | 22% | 21% | 21% | -21.8 | +21.2 | -0.5 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 38% | 21% | 22% | -10.2 | +28.8 | -7.3 | -11.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 64% | 13% | 12% | -4.4 | -5.5 | +9.7 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 9% | 59% | 18% | 14% | +0.7 | +6.1 | -6.1 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 67% | 12% | 12% | +32.2 | -5.9 | -8.0 | -18.4 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 60% | 10% | 6% | -6.4 | +1.3 | +10.3 | -5.2 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 63% | 13% | 4% | -8.7 | -10.8 | +25.1 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 15% | 52% | 31% | 3% | +5.1 | -6.5 | +2.5 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 42% | 34% | 3% | +45.5 | -13.7 | -25.1 | -6.6 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 16% | 7% | 1% | -31.5 | +47.9 | -9.2 | -7.1 |