Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/24 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +49.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +14.4 | -5.2 | -3.1 | -6.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 36% | 21% | 21% | 22% | -23.0 | +21.3 | +2.7 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 36% | 23% | 21% | -9.2 | +29.9 | -11.6 | -9.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 63% | 12% | 14% | -3.8 | -2.7 | +9.5 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 10% | 62% | 17% | 11% | +0.4 | +4.2 | -4.7 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 68% | 13% | 11% | +31.0 | -5.3 | -7.9 | -17.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 61% | 10% | 5% | -6.0 | +1.6 | +9.9 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 65% | 12% | 4% | -8.7 | -13.0 | +26.0 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 50% | 32% | 3% | +3.0 | -4.0 | +3.0 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 43% | 36% | 3% | +48.2 | -16.7 | -25.7 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 13% | 8% | 2% | -32.3 | +49.3 | -9.6 | -7.4 |