Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/24 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Exhaustive draw, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +0.9 | -0.2 | +4.4 | -5.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -2.9 | -3.8 | -0.6 | +7.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 22% | 27% | 28% | +2.7 | +5.5 | -6.9 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 25% | 22% | 27% | -13.3 | -4.1 | +16.5 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Takaharu Ooi | 18% | 22% | 32% | 28% | -2.3 | -2.9 | +25.5 | -20.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 17% | 57% | 12% | -21.9 | +23.0 | -2.2 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 31% | 53% | 12% | +18.8 | -1.4 | -2.1 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 11% | 30% | 53% | 6% | -6.8 | -1.9 | +4.5 | +4.2 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 5% | 28% | 59% | 7% | +16.4 | +1.7 | -15.2 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 35% | 41% | 9% | -13.3 | -0.3 | -3.4 | +17.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 35% | 39% | 15% | -18.6 | -8.0 | +32.4 | -5.8 |