Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/24 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Draw, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -0.2 | -2.9 | +4.0 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 23% | 27% | 24% | -3.1 | -0.9 | -1.8 | +5.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 23% | 25% | 28% | +3.3 | +1.0 | -4.2 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -16.7 | +0.2 | +16.9 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu | 15% | 23% | 36% | 26% | +2.3 | -3.9 | +21.9 | -20.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 15% | 17% | 55% | 13% | -23.0 | +25.7 | -3.3 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 33% | 49% | 12% | +16.6 | -4.1 | +1.1 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato | 10% | 30% | 53% | 7% | -6.0 | -2.3 | +4.6 | +3.6 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 5% | 26% | 61% | 8% | +16.9 | +2.1 | -14.9 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 33% | 43% | 8% | -12.5 | -0.1 | -4.2 | +16.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 12% | 33% | 40% | 15% | -19.5 | -7.8 | +32.0 | -4.6 |