Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/26 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Setokuma Naoki tsumo 18,000, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +53.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -12.1 | -5.4 | -6.5 | +24.0 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 16% | 22% | 20% | 42% | +1.1 | -12.8 | +10.0 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 13% | 26% | 45% | -6.1 | +3.0 | -6.4 | +9.5 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 13% | 14% | 19% | 55% | +1.6 | +0.1 | -30.1 | +28.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 7% | 3% | 83% | +2.1 | -2.6 | +3.0 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 6% | 4% | 84% | +2.2 | +2.3 | -2.3 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 80% | +53.1 | -16.9 | -13.6 | -22.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Maehara Yudai | 52% | 3% | 1% | 43% | +0.3 | +11.5 | -8.4 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 6,000 | 55% | 5% | 1% | 39% | -4.3 | +12.9 | -4.6 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 11% | 1% | 37% | +25.4 | -13.5 | -2.6 | -9.4 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 85% | 1% | 0% | 14% | +6.1 | -0.7 | -3.7 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +4.5 | +1.5 | -1.2 | -4.8 |