Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/26 Game 2
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Naoki Setokuma tsumo 18,000, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +53.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -11.4 | -7.0 | -2.9 | +21.4 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 16% | 19% | 21% | 43% | +0.4 | -8.3 | +7.3 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 17% | 14% | 25% | 43% | -4.2 | -1.0 | -6.4 | +11.6 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 13% | 13% | 20% | 54% | +0.4 | +1.8 | -30.3 | +28.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 7% | 3% | 82% | +0.6 | -4.0 | +4.2 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 5% | 4% | 85% | +3.4 | +3.2 | -2.6 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 7% | 4% | 80% | +53.6 | -17.1 | -13.0 | -23.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Yudai Maehara | 53% | 3% | 2% | 42% | -0.7 | +11.4 | -9.9 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 6,000 | 54% | 5% | 1% | 40% | -3.4 | +14.4 | -4.7 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 11% | 1% | 35% | +24.8 | -14.7 | -2.5 | -7.6 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,700 | 85% | 0% | 1% | 14% | +5.7 | +0.1 | -3.8 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 0% | 0% | 8% | +4.8 | +1.3 | -1.0 | -5.2 |