Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/27 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -12.3 | +21.9 | -4.1 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 41% | 22% | 20% | -4.0 | +3.5 | +1.2 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 44% | 22% | 20% | +16.1 | -8.7 | -4.4 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 37% | 21% | 19% | +3.8 | +0.4 | -6.4 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 38% | 16% | 21% | +9.8 | -0.7 | -1.3 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 37% | 15% | 15% | -13.5 | -8.5 | -11.5 | +33.6 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 30% | 10% | 39% | +1.1 | -43.0 | +2.2 | +39.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 6% | 1% | 5% | 88% | -2.6 | -4.9 | +9.2 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 7% | 1% | 7% | 85% | +13.6 | +1.1 | -17.6 | +2.9 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 92% | -4.8 | +24.2 | -15.8 | -3.6 |