Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/27 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -10.7 | +20.0 | -3.6 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 40% | 22% | 22% | -3.3 | +4.2 | +1.8 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 44% | 21% | 20% | +12.7 | -5.1 | -4.2 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 40% | 20% | 19% | +6.8 | -2.3 | -5.3 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 36% | 17% | 19% | +10.0 | -0.6 | -4.9 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 36% | 13% | 16% | -14.7 | -9.0 | -10.3 | +34.0 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 22% | 29% | 9% | 41% | +0.8 | -42.4 | +3.0 | +38.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 1% | 5% | 88% | -2.2 | -4.9 | +7.6 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 6% | 1% | 6% | 87% | +13.8 | +1.2 | -17.1 | +2.1 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 92% | -5.3 | +24.1 | -14.8 | -4.0 |