Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/27 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 27% | 26% | 23% | +5.9 | -5.4 | -1.3 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 29% | 23% | 25% | 22% | -8.2 | +4.8 | +0.1 | +3.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +1.8 | -0.5 | -1.5 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -6.5 | -6.8 | -12.8 | +26.1 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 19% | 14% | 47% | -9.2 | -6.2 | +28.2 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 16% | 33% | 36% | +38.9 | -11.6 | -13.4 | -13.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 43% | 11% | 22% | 24% | +0.4 | +28.6 | -29.4 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,500 from Yuumi Uotani | 45% | 25% | 8% | 22% | -1.3 | +5.5 | -4.0 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 43% | 29% | 6% | 21% | +29.1 | -29.8 | -0.5 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 3% | 4% | 13% | -2.0 | -5.1 | -12.9 | +20.0 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 78% | 0% | 0% | 21% | +5.9 | +33.9 | -5.1 | -34.7 |