Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/27 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +6.0 | -3.3 | -3.2 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 29% | 22% | 22% | 27% | -6.9 | +5.1 | +0.8 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | -0.8 | -0.8 | +2.0 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | -3.3 | -6.0 | -13.8 | +23.1 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 20% | 15% | 45% | -9.4 | -6.8 | +28.8 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 17% | 36% | 32% | +38.7 | -11.9 | -14.3 | -12.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 45% | 11% | 22% | 21% | -1.4 | +28.7 | -29.0 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Uotani Yuumi | 44% | 26% | 8% | 23% | -0.1 | +4.5 | -3.0 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 42% | 29% | 8% | 21% | +29.8 | -29.2 | -1.3 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 2% | 5% | 11% | -2.9 | -4.9 | -13.8 | +21.6 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 79% | 0% | 0% | 21% | +5.8 | +34.0 | -5.2 | -34.6 |