Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/29 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +65.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -2.4 | -4.7 | +3.8 | +3.3 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 23% | 27% | 28% | -5.2 | -4.4 | -2.4 | +12.0 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 20% | 26% | 35% | +36.7 | -11.7 | -17.7 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 49% | 11% | 13% | 27% | -2.5 | -2.0 | -2.1 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 10% | 12% | 31% | -2.5 | -2.8 | +2.0 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,100 | 43% | 9% | 13% | 36% | -10.4 | -2.4 | -2.8 | +15.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 9% | 10% | 51% | +2.5 | -1.4 | +11.1 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 35% | 9% | 17% | 40% | -2.8 | +1.0 | +0.1 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 9% | 17% | 43% | -2.3 | +7.8 | -3.0 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 30% | 13% | 16% | 41% | -3.1 | -28.3 | -1.2 | +32.7 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 0% | 8% | 79% | -2.4 | -9.3 | +14.1 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 13% | 0% | 13% | 73% | +6.1 | 0.0 | -12.8 | +6.6 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 10% | 0% | 3% | 87% | -20.6 | +0.4 | +65.7 | -45.4 |