Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/29 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +65.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -4.7 | -0.2 | +7.5 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 25% | 30% | 23% | -3.4 | -10.2 | -4.8 | +18.3 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 17% | 25% | 38% | +34.9 | -7.0 | -19.3 | -8.6 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 48% | 12% | 12% | 28% | -4.0 | -1.6 | -0.8 | +6.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 43% | 12% | 13% | 32% | -3.3 | -3.2 | +1.7 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,100 | 40% | 11% | 14% | 36% | -6.8 | -3.2 | -4.2 | +14.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 30% | 9% | 10% | 51% | +2.7 | -2.5 | +11.5 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 8% | 16% | 40% | -2.1 | +1.4 | +0.2 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 34% | 9% | 16% | 41% | -1.9 | +7.0 | -3.5 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 33% | 12% | 15% | 40% | -4.0 | -27.6 | +0.2 | +31.3 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 14% | 0% | 8% | 77% | -3.4 | -8.6 | +12.4 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 0% | 13% | 76% | +5.9 | +0.1 | -11.5 | +5.5 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 10% | 0% | 3% | 87% | -20.5 | +0.1 | +65.4 | -45.0 |