Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/29 Game 2
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +27.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | +2.2 | +4.6 | -3.2 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 26% | 28% | 22% | 23% | -23.3 | +24.3 | +1.8 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 49% | 21% | 19% | +21.6 | -11.1 | -6.7 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 39% | 19% | 18% | -3.5 | +7.4 | -5.4 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 46% | 14% | 19% | -6.9 | +27.5 | -6.1 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 10% | 78% | 6% | 6% | +32.9 | -6.0 | -26.3 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 65% | 2% | 5% | -13.8 | +19.7 | -4.7 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 90% | 0% | 3% | +4.5 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 91% | 1% | 3% | -10.8 | -7.7 | +39.0 | -20.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 87% | 6% | 2% | +0.7 | +9.8 | -8.1 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +6.1 | +1.2 | +1.0 | -8.4 |