Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/29 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +1.3 | +5.7 | -3.7 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 25% | 28% | 23% | 24% | -22.6 | +25.8 | -1.2 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 48% | 20% | 20% | +20.8 | -9.7 | -5.4 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 40% | 18% | 19% | -4.3 | +7.5 | -4.9 | +1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 47% | 14% | 19% | -5.1 | +26.0 | -6.4 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 10% | 78% | 7% | 5% | +32.3 | -5.0 | -27.6 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 64% | 2% | 5% | -14.6 | +19.7 | -3.3 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 6% | 90% | 1% | 3% | +5.3 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 91% | 1% | 2% | -10.7 | -8.7 | +38.4 | -19.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 86% | 6% | 2% | +0.5 | +10.7 | -8.2 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +5.7 | +1.0 | +1.0 | -7.7 |