Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/30 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori ron 16,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +75.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -17.7 | -7.1 | -8.2 | +33.0 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 12% | 18% | 18% | 52% | +7.1 | -1.2 | +0.4 | -6.3 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma | 18% | 17% | 18% | 47% | -1.4 | -14.0 | +15.4 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 10% | 28% | 46% | -2.9 | -5.0 | -8.2 | +16.1 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 12% | 7% | 18% | 63% | +14.8 | -1.8 | +0.2 | -13.2 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 23% | 7% | 20% | 50% | -5.8 | -1.3 | +3.6 | +3.5 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 7% | 21% | 56% | -0.6 | -15.6 | -2.2 | +18.3 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 0% | 11% | 80% | +24.3 | -3.9 | -17.9 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 16,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 21% | 0% | 2% | 78% | -27.0 | -16.5 | +75.6 | -32.1 |