Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/30 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shiratori Sho ron 16,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +75.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -20.4 | -4.4 | -8.7 | +33.5 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 12% | 19% | 17% | 52% | +8.8 | -3.3 | +0.5 | -6.0 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 17% | 17% | 19% | 47% | -0.8 | -15.6 | +16.0 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 10% | 28% | 46% | -3.4 | -2.5 | -9.3 | +15.2 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 12% | 8% | 19% | 62% | +15.2 | -3.1 | +0.2 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 22% | 7% | 20% | 50% | -5.1 | -1.0 | +3.8 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 18% | 7% | 22% | 53% | -2.0 | -15.2 | -1.6 | +18.9 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 79% | +24.6 | -4.1 | -18.8 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 16,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 0% | 1% | 78% | -26.6 | -17.2 | +75.8 | -32.0 |