Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series

3/30 Game 2

Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 1: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +35.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance	Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance	Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance	Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance	Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change	Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change	Go Kobayashi Expected pt change	Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change
East 1	Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700	25%	26%	24%	24%	-5.7	-1.6	+8.5	-1.2
East 2	Exhaustive draw	21%	23%	32%	24%	+1.6	+4.7	+0.4	-6.7
East 2, 1 honba	Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani	22%	26%	31%	20%	+18.1	-19.0	+2.1	-1.1
East 3	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000	36%	14%	31%	19%	+24.9	-4.5	-18.1	-2.3
East 4	Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000	60%	9%	16%	15%	-17.9	-12.4	-14.4	+44.6
East 4, 1 honba	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200	35%	6%	9%	49%	+16.4	-4.4	-3.5	-8.5
South 1	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000	53%	4%	6%	36%	+35.1	-7.6	-9.5	-18.0
South 1, 1 honba	Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,200	91%	1%	1%	7%	-2.1	-3.5	+6.8	-1.3
South 2	Exhaustive draw	91%	1%	2%	6%	-0.9	+2.7	-0.4	-1.4
South 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	91%	1%	2%	6%	-1.8	+7.2	-4.1	-1.2
South 2, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	91%	2%	2%	6%	+0.3	+4.9	-3.0	-2.3
South 2, 3 honba	Exhaustive draw	91%	2%	2%	6%	+0.5	-6.2	+5.6	+0.1
South 3, 4 honba	Exhaustive draw	93%	0%	2%	5%	-1.8	+2.5	+2.9	-3.6
South 3, 5 honba	Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa	92%	0%	3%	5%	-11.5	+36.7	-17.8	-7.4
South 4	Exhaustive draw	89%	4%	0%	7%	+4.6	+4.6	-0.6	-8.6

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)