Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/30 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -9.0 | -0.1 | +8.7 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 25% | 30% | 26% | +2.9 | +2.0 | +1.7 | -6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 22% | 25% | 31% | 22% | +18.3 | -16.7 | +1.0 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 14% | 32% | 19% | +26.1 | -6.0 | -16.0 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 61% | 9% | 16% | 14% | -19.1 | -12.9 | -14.8 | +46.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 5% | 10% | 49% | +16.4 | -2.9 | -4.7 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 54% | 4% | 6% | 35% | +36.1 | -8.7 | -7.5 | -19.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,200 | 92% | 1% | 1% | 6% | -3.5 | -4.1 | +6.7 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 91% | 1% | 2% | 6% | -1.0 | +4.6 | -1.1 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 91% | 1% | 2% | 6% | -1.2 | +5.2 | -3.5 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 90% | 1% | 2% | 6% | -0.6 | +5.6 | -2.3 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 90% | 2% | 2% | 6% | +0.1 | -6.7 | +5.1 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 93% | 0% | 3% | 5% | -1.4 | +3.7 | +3.6 | -5.9 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 92% | 0% | 4% | 4% | -11.0 | +36.7 | -19.6 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 90% | 3% | 0% | 7% | +4.4 | +4.6 | -0.6 | -8.4 |