Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/31 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -15.1 | +14.4 | -0.2 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 16% | 35% | 25% | 24% | +16.2 | -4.0 | -0.4 | -11.8 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 31% | 25% | 18% | -5.3 | -5.3 | +17.7 | -7.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 22% | 27% | 36% | 15% | -1.3 | -14.5 | -2.8 | +18.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 18% | 35% | 26% | -1.1 | -3.1 | -3.9 | +8.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 16% | 32% | 31% | -7.5 | +24.9 | -4.8 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 17% | 33% | 29% | 22% | -6.1 | -29.6 | +36.0 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 10% | 67% | 16% | -3.4 | -12.3 | +20.6 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 92% | 6% | +24.7 | -10.8 | -6.7 | -7.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 0% | 90% | 6% | +2.3 | -1.7 | +4.2 | -4.8 |