Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/31 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -16.0 | +15.0 | -0.1 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 15% | 35% | 24% | 26% | +16.7 | -4.4 | -1.0 | -11.3 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 31% | 24% | 20% | -6.4 | -4.7 | +19.7 | -8.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 20% | 26% | 40% | 15% | +3.0 | -14.6 | -6.1 | +17.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 19% | 34% | 25% | -4.8 | -3.5 | -3.3 | +11.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 16% | 32% | 32% | -5.5 | +27.5 | -4.4 | -17.6 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 18% | 34% | 28% | 19% | -7.8 | -30.3 | +35.6 | +2.5 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 11% | 65% | 16% | -3.4 | -13.7 | +20.8 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 91% | 7% | +25.6 | -10.7 | -5.2 | -9.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 4% | 0% | 91% | 5% | +2.0 | -1.8 | +3.5 | -3.7 |