Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
3/31 Game 2
Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+79.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 16,000, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,400 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +7.3 | -1.6 | -5.1 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 24% | 22% | 23% | +4.9 | -1.9 | -1.0 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 16,000 | 35% | 22% | 20% | 23% | -23.0 | -9.1 | +42.4 | -10.3 |
| East 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 16% | 15% | 54% | 15% | +1.1 | -21.6 | +18.3 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 4% | 71% | 13% | -9.1 | -4.6 | +20.4 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 7,700 from Hinata Aiko | 4% | 2% | 89% | 5% | +3.4 | +0.9 | +11.3 | -15.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -7.8 | -2.5 | +14.4 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | +4.3 | -3.2 | -1.9 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.9 | -0.1 | +3.0 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 1,500 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +8.3 | -2.1 | -3.9 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +11.2 | +0.6 | +0.6 | -12.4 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +8.5 | -0.6 | -7.3 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 8 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 3% | 0% | 97% | 0% | -7.1 | +7.6 | +1.2 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -15.3 | +33.1 | -6.9 | -10.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 98% | 0% | +23.4 | -17.5 | -2.1 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -0.9 | +9.8 | -0.3 | -8.6 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -20.8 | +30.2 | -2.5 | -6.9 |