Game · 2019-20 Semifinal Series
3/31 Game 2
Satoshi Fujisaki finished 1st (+79.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 16,000, which moved Satoshi Fujisaki's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,400 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +5.8 | -1.8 | -3.9 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 25% | 23% | 23% | +6.3 | -2.2 | -4.2 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 16,000 | 35% | 23% | 19% | 23% | -22.5 | -9.9 | +43.4 | -11.0 |
| East 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 16% | 16% | 52% | 15% | +1.1 | -21.4 | +18.5 | +1.8 |
| East 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 4% | 72% | 12% | -8.0 | -4.6 | +20.5 | -7.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 7,700 from Aiko Hinata | 5% | 1% | 89% | 5% | +1.2 | +3.2 | +11.1 | -15.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -5.5 | -4.2 | +14.4 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +3.5 | -3.1 | -1.5 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.1 | -1.4 | +2.5 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 1,500 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +7.9 | -2.6 | -2.9 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +12.0 | +2.6 | -0.4 | -14.2 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 1% | 0% | 98% | 0% | +8.7 | -0.1 | -7.0 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 8 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 3% | 0% | 96% | 0% | -7.8 | +7.0 | +1.3 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -14.7 | +32.2 | -6.1 | -11.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 98% | 0% | +23.3 | -16.7 | -3.1 | -3.5 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -1.5 | +10.0 | -0.1 | -8.4 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -20.4 | +29.9 | -2.5 | -7.0 |