Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/10 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -4.2 | -1.8 | +24.7 | -18.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 41% | 14% | -2.7 | +2.5 | -3.1 | +3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 25% | 40% | 16% | +1.0 | +8.4 | -8.1 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 21% | 31% | 32% | 16% | +3.8 | -3.0 | +3.5 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 28% | 36% | 13% | -7.1 | +29.3 | -15.6 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 17% | 56% | 19% | 8% | +12.9 | +3.0 | -12.5 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 60% | 12% | 6% | -3.9 | +2.8 | -4.3 | +5.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 66% | 10% | 7% | -13.4 | +34.4 | -10.0 | -11.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 97% | 1% | 1% | -9.7 | -8.2 | -12.5 | +30.4 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | +23.3 | -7.9 | -8.0 | -7.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 94% | 0% | 5% | -0.7 | -3.1 | +0.8 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 4% | 90% | 0% | 7% | -8.9 | -1.1 | -6.9 | +16.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 88% | 0% | 11% | +18.4 | +5.6 | -5.5 | -18.5 |