Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/10 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -1.5 | -0.1 | +21.5 | -19.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 24% | 40% | 14% | -3.2 | +3.8 | -3.6 | +3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 26% | 37% | 16% | -1.6 | +10.0 | -6.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 20% | 34% | 31% | 15% | +4.6 | -3.7 | +1.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 30% | 34% | 15% | -8.3 | +28.2 | -12.6 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 14% | 57% | 19% | 10% | +14.5 | +2.4 | -13.4 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 22% | 60% | 12% | 7% | -2.8 | +2.4 | -4.0 | +4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 66% | 10% | 7% | -12.7 | +34.2 | -10.1 | -11.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 96% | 2% | 1% | -11.9 | -7.4 | -11.7 | +31.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 95% | 1% | 3% | +24.3 | -8.3 | -9.1 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 93% | 0% | 5% | -1.9 | -3.0 | +2.5 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 3% | 89% | 0% | 7% | -8.3 | -1.1 | -7.7 | +17.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 2% | 88% | 0% | 10% | +18.5 | +5.8 | -5.7 | -18.6 |