Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/11 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -3.4 | -1.9 | +7.5 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 21% | 25% | 30% | 24% | +0.2 | +24.0 | -1.1 | -23.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 20% | 42% | 26% | 11% | +6.5 | -5.1 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 25% | 36% | 27% | 12% | -3.0 | -0.8 | +1.8 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 24% | 36% | 27% | 13% | -1.5 | +2.4 | +1.9 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 22% | 39% | 28% | 11% | -0.5 | -12.1 | +17.9 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 27% | 46% | 7% | -15.0 | -5.3 | -2.2 | +22.5 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 25% | 46% | 19% | +32.4 | -17.9 | -6.7 | -7.8 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 13% | 37% | 15% | -18.1 | -10.7 | +38.9 | -10.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,000 | 7% | 1% | 86% | 6% | -4.5 | -1.7 | +11.6 | -5.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 0% | 96% | 2% | -2.0 | +4.2 | -1.5 | -0.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -5.3 | -12.4 | -10.1 | +27.8 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 0% | 91% | 8% | +21.9 | -13.6 | +4.3 | -12.6 |