Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/11 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -4.8 | +4.9 | -2.2 | +2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 29% | 23% | 27% | -7.3 | +26.1 | -8.8 | -9.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 49% | 18% | 19% | +24.2 | -12.5 | -9.4 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 31% | 37% | 13% | 19% | -12.1 | +0.7 | +12.4 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 39% | 20% | 19% | +39.5 | -9.0 | -21.8 | -8.7 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 58% | 25% | 6% | 11% | -1.5 | -2.6 | -11.8 | +15.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 22% | 4% | 19% | -1.2 | -1.9 | +17.5 | -14.3 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 57% | 23% | 9% | 11% | -3.0 | -3.9 | +7.4 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 20% | 11% | 12% | -8.5 | -22.6 | +42.9 | -11.7 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 44% | 6% | 43% | 7% | -11.4 | -0.2 | +33.7 | -22.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 1% | 85% | 1% | -3.0 | -5.6 | -3.7 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 0% | 89% | 3% | -0.6 | +5.1 | +5.2 | -9.7 |