Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/11 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -5.4 | +4.6 | -1.1 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 19% | 28% | 24% | 28% | -6.1 | +24.4 | -11.2 | -7.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 47% | 16% | 21% | +24.0 | -12.4 | -6.0 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 33% | 35% | 14% | 19% | -11.7 | +1.4 | +10.5 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 38% | 20% | 19% | +38.5 | -8.7 | -21.0 | -8.8 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Takaharu Ooi | 57% | 24% | 7% | 12% | -2.7 | +0.3 | -12.1 | +14.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 25% | 4% | 17% | +0.8 | -5.8 | +18.5 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 59% | 21% | 10% | 11% | -4.9 | -1.2 | +5.0 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 22% | 11% | 13% | -6.2 | -24.2 | +43.0 | -12.7 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 45% | 6% | 42% | 7% | -14.3 | +0.5 | +35.3 | -21.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 1% | 87% | 1% | -0.4 | -5.5 | -4.9 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 9% | 0% | 88% | 3% | -1.4 | +4.6 | +6.0 | -9.2 |