Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/13 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -8.1 | -1.4 | -1.6 | +11.0 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 23% | 25% | 32% | +6.8 | -5.7 | -2.0 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 19% | 24% | 34% | -3.5 | -2.8 | -12.2 | +18.5 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 20% | 15% | 14% | 51% | -23.4 | +0.6 | +26.2 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 15% | 28% | 48% | -22.4 | +22.1 | 0.0 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 27% | 27% | 46% | +1.5 | +0.3 | -7.7 | +5.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 25% | 21% | 54% | -3.5 | -0.8 | +2.4 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 24% | 20% | 56% | -0.7 | -27.2 | -0.9 | +28.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 2% | 97% | +7.0 | +17.8 | -24.6 | -0.2 |