Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/13 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -1.6 | -3.3 | -3.9 | +8.8 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 22% | 23% | 34% | +4.9 | -5.1 | +0.7 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 19% | 24% | 34% | -2.7 | -3.5 | -13.6 | +19.8 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 21% | 14% | 13% | 52% | -24.4 | +1.3 | +27.6 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 9% | 15% | 30% | 47% | -22.5 | +22.4 | -2.0 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 27% | 25% | 47% | +3.0 | +1.0 | -7.3 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 26% | 20% | 53% | -4.7 | -2.3 | +2.3 | +4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 23% | 20% | 57% | -0.7 | -26.8 | +0.5 | +27.0 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 1% | 2% | 97% | +7.2 | +17.8 | -25.1 | +0.2 |