Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/13 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +56.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -5.2 | -8.7 | +13.1 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 21% | 21% | 33% | 25% | 0.0 | -5.1 | +13.6 | -8.5 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 15% | 45% | 20% | +5.3 | +1.1 | -3.9 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 25% | 16% | 42% | 18% | -3.0 | -1.3 | +10.0 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000 | 20% | 14% | 52% | 13% | -29.5 | -12.4 | -14.9 | +56.9 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 7% | 27% | 62% | -1.1 | +3.5 | -0.4 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 9% | 28% | 60% | -2.8 | -6.5 | -2.6 | +11.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 2% | 19% | 78% | +43.3 | -1.1 | -48.3 | +6.1 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 8% | 1% | 0% | 91% | -0.7 | +8.1 | -9.1 | +1.7 |