Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/13 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +57.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -4.6 | -10.5 | +13.7 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 22% | 18% | 34% | 26% | +0.8 | -0.7 | +8.6 | -8.7 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 22% | 17% | 40% | 21% | +7.6 | -1.2 | -4.0 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 15% | 37% | 20% | -7.5 | -2.6 | +15.6 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000 | 20% | 13% | 53% | 13% | -28.3 | -13.1 | -16.0 | +57.4 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 6% | 28% | 64% | -1.9 | +6.5 | -2.2 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 9% | 27% | 61% | -3.8 | -7.5 | -1.4 | +12.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 1% | 18% | 80% | +43.4 | -0.4 | -48.7 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 7% | 1% | 0% | 92% | +0.3 | +7.3 | -8.5 | +0.9 |