Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/14 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+50.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0.0 | +2.9 | -1.0 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -1.6 | -2.8 | -2.2 | +6.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 24% | 23% | 29% | -0.6 | +8.8 | -4.8 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 30% | 19% | 27% | -2.4 | -0.7 | +6.6 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 31% | 25% | 23% | +12.2 | -12.6 | +2.2 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 22% | 26% | 22% | -13.4 | -5.0 | +22.2 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 17% | 18% | 46% | 19% | -1.2 | +8.0 | -3.7 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 23% | 42% | 17% | -3.1 | +8.1 | -3.0 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 29% | 38% | 17% | -7.2 | -12.7 | -3.5 | +23.4 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 14% | 19% | 35% | 32% | -6.8 | -1.5 | -17.1 | +25.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 9% | 13% | 12% | 65% | +33.5 | -36.0 | -11.7 | +14.1 |