Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/14 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+50.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +23.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +0.1 | +4.4 | +1.3 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 28% | 25% | 23% | -0.3 | -3.3 | -2.9 | +6.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -3.7 | +9.2 | -5.6 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 32% | 19% | 28% | -3.7 | -0.9 | +11.2 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 31% | 28% | 22% | +14.9 | -12.6 | -2.4 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 22% | 26% | 22% | -12.7 | -4.4 | +19.7 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 20% | 42% | 21% | -3.0 | +6.7 | -0.4 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 22% | 42% | 18% | -2.0 | +7.0 | -3.5 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 27% | 38% | 19% | -7.6 | -12.2 | -3.4 | +23.1 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 14% | 19% | 34% | 34% | -4.7 | -1.3 | -17.0 | +23.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 11% | 12% | 13% | 64% | +31.9 | -35.0 | -11.8 | +14.9 |