Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/17 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +21.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -5.9 | -14.5 | +17.8 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 21% | 17% | 38% | 24% | +1.5 | -24.3 | +21.6 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 5% | 55% | 22% | -2.8 | +5.1 | +1.8 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 6% | 59% | 19% | -0.8 | +4.3 | +1.6 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 15% | 7% | 63% | 14% | -25.8 | +0.8 | +21.8 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 3% | 89% | 7% | -1.6 | +5.3 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 5% | 86% | 8% | +9.9 | -10.1 | +2.5 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 1% | 93% | 6% | +4.3 | -6.3 | 0.0 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -28.0 | +18.5 | +2.4 | +7.1 |