Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/17 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -3.0 | -12.3 | +15.8 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 23% | 18% | 35% | 24% | -3.6 | -25.7 | +26.2 | +3.1 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 15% | 5% | 57% | 23% | +0.9 | +4.3 | -0.6 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 17% | 6% | 58% | 19% | -1.6 | +4.1 | +0.7 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 16% | 7% | 61% | 16% | -24.6 | +0.3 | +23.5 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 4% | 88% | 7% | -2.8 | +5.4 | -0.5 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 4% | 88% | 7% | +10.9 | -9.5 | +0.3 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 0% | 93% | 6% | +2.9 | -5.4 | +0.5 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -27.3 | +17.8 | +2.2 | +7.4 |