Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/18 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +45.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -16.3 | +32.3 | -9.1 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000 | 13% | 50% | 17% | 20% | -15.9 | +45.6 | -13.5 | -16.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 91% | 4% | 4% | +4.0 | -2.3 | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 2% | 91% | 4% | 4% | -2.6 | +4.6 | -2.4 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 95% | 1% | 3% | +28.0 | -3.2 | -6.1 | -18.8 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 4% | 94% | 1% | 1% | -2.1 | +1.2 | -20.4 | +21.3 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 16,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | -1.2 | -23.5 | +32.9 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 84% | 6% | 4% | -7.1 | +1.9 | +0.3 | +4.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 86% | 7% | 5% | +3.6 | +11.5 | -8.4 | -6.6 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 2% | -13.1 | -2.7 | -14.9 | +30.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | +0.8 | +1.9 | -3.0 | +0.3 |