Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/18 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 27% | 24% | -16.5 | +31.8 | -7.0 | -8.2 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000 | 13% | 51% | 20% | 17% | -14.1 | +46.0 | -17.1 | -14.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 90% | 4% | 4% | +1.9 | -1.5 | -0.9 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 2% | 91% | 4% | 4% | -1.8 | +3.1 | -2.1 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 94% | 2% | 3% | +29.9 | -3.1 | -7.4 | -19.4 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 5% | 93% | 1% | 1% | -3.3 | +2.3 | -19.5 | +20.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 16,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +0.1 | -24.5 | +32.5 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 6% | 83% | 6% | 5% | -8.7 | +2.4 | +1.4 | +4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 86% | 6% | 5% | +3.7 | +11.7 | -9.4 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 2% | -11.1 | -2.7 | -15.2 | +29.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | -0.9 | +1.8 | -2.9 | +2.1 |