Game · 2020-21 Final Series
5/18 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+73.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -25.2 | -0.4 | +1.4 | +24.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 24% | 24% | 43% | -2.8 | +6.0 | +0.8 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 9% | 27% | 25% | 40% | +22.7 | -20.8 | -2.5 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 14% | 24% | 43% | -4.0 | +2.2 | +4.0 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 16% | 28% | 39% | +29.5 | -6.9 | -16.4 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 39% | 12% | 14% | 34% | +32.0 | +1.1 | -28.0 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 72% | 6% | 3% | 18% | +1.3 | -2.8 | -1.0 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 76% | 5% | 2% | 17% | +14.7 | -1.5 | -13.4 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 91% | 0% | 1% | 8% | -3.8 | +0.2 | -3.6 | +7.2 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 89% | 0% | 0% | 11% | +9.6 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -7.4 |