Game · 2020-21 Finals
5/18 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+73.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -25.7 | +3.4 | -0.9 | +23.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 10% | 25% | 23% | 42% | -1.5 | +2.5 | +1.4 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 10% | 26% | 24% | 40% | +19.2 | -20.5 | -0.8 | +2.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 15% | 24% | 42% | -0.4 | +3.0 | +1.6 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 15% | 26% | 38% | +27.1 | -7.5 | -14.9 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 40% | 12% | 14% | 34% | +32.4 | +2.2 | -28.0 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 73% | 7% | 3% | 18% | +0.6 | -3.3 | -0.9 | +3.6 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 76% | 5% | 3% | 17% | +15.6 | -1.8 | -13.2 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 92% | 0% | 1% | 7% | -5.0 | +0.3 | -4.0 | +8.7 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 89% | 0% | 0% | 11% | +9.8 | -0.8 | -1.2 | -7.8 |