Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/2 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+112.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 48,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +74.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 23% | -15.0 | -3.7 | +20.2 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 23% | 40% | 22% | -4.1 | -16.1 | -2.9 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 12% | 11% | 37% | 40% | +8.8 | +1.2 | -10.7 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 13% | 28% | 41% | -3.5 | -3.3 | -2.1 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 48,000 | 15% | 11% | 26% | 48% | -24.3 | -21.2 | -28.6 | +74.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.6 | -2.2 | -2.6 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +21.8 | -19.2 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.8 | +1.3 | -1.9 | +1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +6.3 | -4.3 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.3 | -4.4 | -6.5 | +10.6 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.1 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -3.1 |