Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/2 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+112.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 48,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +74.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 27% | 23% | -13.8 | -5.7 | +20.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 20% | 42% | 22% | -4.2 | -11.3 | -4.9 | +20.4 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 14% | 13% | 36% | 38% | +9.0 | +1.4 | -10.4 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 15% | 28% | 39% | -3.1 | -4.4 | -3.0 | +10.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 48,000 | 16% | 11% | 24% | 49% | -23.8 | -22.4 | -28.2 | +74.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +2.9 | -3.0 | -2.1 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +21.4 | -18.4 | -1.2 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -1.8 | +1.2 | -2.5 | +3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +6.7 | -4.1 | -2.0 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.5 | -4.1 | -6.6 | +10.2 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.2 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -3.1 |