Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/2 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | -6.4 | +4.1 | -0.6 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 28% | 25% | 26% | -6.7 | +22.1 | -6.9 | -8.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 46% | 20% | 19% | -7.4 | +28.8 | -10.3 | -11.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 8% | 73% | 9% | 10% | -0.3 | +5.9 | -4.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 7% | 78% | 8% | 7% | -18.0 | -3.7 | +21.9 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 75% | 13% | 8% | -3.0 | +1.9 | -3.3 | +4.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 79% | 11% | 8% | -3.5 | +0.7 | +5.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 81% | 12% | 5% | -9.5 | -5.4 | +22.3 | -7.5 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 73% | 24% | 3% | -1.9 | -8.1 | +10.3 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 62% | 35% | 3% | +2.4 | -4.7 | +10.6 | -8.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 49% | 50% | 1% | +17.7 | +4.8 | -11.7 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 64% | 35% | 1% | -4.8 | -2.4 | +0.5 | +6.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 60% | 38% | 2% | -10.9 | +1.1 | -2.3 | +12.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 64% | 34% | 3% | -2.5 | +9.3 | -31.0 | +24.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 86% | 4% | 11% | -0.4 | -0.6 | -12.0 | +13.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 85% | 2% | 13% | +0.2 | +6.9 | +20.9 | -28.0 |