Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/2 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +29.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 25% | 22% | 26% | -6.1 | +4.7 | +1.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 7,800 | 22% | 29% | 24% | 25% | -7.4 | +22.8 | -7.0 | -8.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 47% | 19% | 18% | -8.2 | +29.1 | -8.2 | -12.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 7% | 75% | 9% | 8% | -0.7 | +3.3 | -5.6 | +2.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 6% | 77% | 8% | 9% | -20.2 | -1.5 | +20.5 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 77% | 12% | 8% | +0.9 | -0.5 | -1.8 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 78% | 11% | 9% | -3.9 | +2.1 | +4.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 82% | 11% | 5% | -9.7 | -6.5 | +24.3 | -8.1 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 71% | 26% | 3% | -2.1 | -5.8 | +7.3 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 64% | 33% | 3% | +2.1 | -6.7 | +12.5 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 47% | 51% | 1% | +17.4 | +4.5 | -11.1 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 62% | 36% | 1% | -4.0 | -1.2 | -0.6 | +5.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 61% | 37% | 1% | -11.4 | +0.6 | -2.0 | +12.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 64% | 34% | 3% | -2.3 | +9.4 | -31.0 | +23.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 1,500 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 87% | 3% | 10% | 0.0 | -0.4 | -12.7 | +13.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 86% | 2% | 12% | -0.4 | +6.4 | +21.7 | -27.7 |