Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/3 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+74.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Go Kobayashi ron 16,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +0.8 | -2.1 | -3.7 | +5.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 23% | 24% | 27% | +16.6 | -5.0 | -5.8 | -5.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 16,000 | 39% | 20% | 18% | 23% | -22.5 | +42.4 | -11.0 | -8.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 16,000 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 52% | 13% | 16% | +40.8 | -7.1 | -31.3 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 6,400 from Taro Suzuki | 50% | 36% | 3% | 11% | -3.1 | +15.3 | -12.7 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 50% | 1% | 8% | -11.9 | +27.7 | -3.2 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 15% | 83% | 0% | 2% | +2.4 | -12.4 | +10.1 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 73% | 1% | 3% | +36.0 | -28.5 | -3.1 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 77% | 20% | 1% | 2% | -0.7 | +0.9 | +26.6 | -26.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 76% | 22% | 1% | 1% | -4.2 | -7.1 | +19.1 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 75% | 20% | 5% | 0% | -3.1 | +0.3 | +0.6 | +2.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 23% | 5% | 0% | +22.5 | -9.1 | -9.7 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -0.5 | -0.2 | +6.1 | -5.3 |