Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/3 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+74.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kobayashi Go ron 16,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | +0.6 | -2.6 | -2.6 | +4.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 23% | 23% | 29% | +18.2 | -6.8 | -4.9 | -6.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 16,000 | 38% | 19% | 19% | 24% | -21.6 | +41.4 | -10.3 | -9.6 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 16,000 from Suzuki Taro | 19% | 50% | 13% | 17% | +40.9 | -6.0 | -33.6 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 6,400 from Suzuki Taro | 50% | 36% | 2% | 12% | -3.4 | +14.2 | -10.6 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 48% | 1% | 9% | -12.0 | +28.4 | -4.0 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 82% | 0% | 2% | +2.1 | -11.5 | +10.1 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 73% | 1% | 3% | +35.3 | -27.6 | -3.5 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 76% | 22% | 0% | 1% | +0.5 | -0.6 | +26.9 | -26.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 22% | 1% | 0% | -4.7 | -6.8 | +18.7 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 76% | 19% | 5% | 0% | -3.0 | -1.0 | +3.3 | +0.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 21% | 7% | 0% | +22.4 | -8.1 | -12.1 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -0.5 | +0.1 | +6.0 | -5.6 |