Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/4 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 23% | -9.8 | +10.7 | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Takamiya Mari | 20% | 34% | 24% | 23% | -0.7 | +7.6 | -7.3 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 38% | 20% | 24% | +19.3 | -11.6 | -5.2 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 32% | 29% | 18% | 22% | -1.0 | -3.1 | +7.9 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 34% | 25% | 22% | 19% | -0.9 | -0.6 | +22.2 | -20.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 25% | 36% | 10% | -5.6 | +26.3 | -16.8 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 6,400 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 49% | 18% | 8% | -1.9 | -18.1 | +24.2 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 22% | 29% | 43% | 6% | -7.5 | +6.9 | +3.6 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 34% | 46% | 5% | -8.1 | +27.7 | -14.9 | -4.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 7% | 67% | 24% | 3% | -1.8 | -0.9 | +7.9 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 68% | 26% | 2% | -2.5 | +17.6 | -12.0 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 94% | 5% | 1% | -1.1 | +2.6 | +14.2 | -15.7 |