Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/4 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+78.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -3.4 | +0.4 | -19.8 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 23% | 14% | 44% | -2.9 | -11.7 | +19.8 | -5.2 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 16% | 25% | 39% | -4.3 | -5.0 | -13.7 | +22.9 |
| East 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 15% | 10% | 13% | 62% | -0.9 | +3.6 | -0.6 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 13% | 13% | 61% | -7.2 | +4.9 | -1.0 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 7,700 from Jun Murakami | 8% | 13% | 11% | 68% | -20.0 | +23.1 | -0.6 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 26% | 10% | 62% | -4.8 | -16.5 | -3.7 | +25.0 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 2% | 4% | 94% | +22.7 | +2.9 | -27.6 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -4.7 | -3.9 | -3.9 | +12.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.1 | +4.8 | -8.6 | -1.2 |