Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
1/4 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+78.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.5 | -0.5 | -20.8 | +23.7 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 23% | 14% | 42% | -2.9 | -14.0 | +20.0 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 15% | 24% | 40% | -6.3 | -2.4 | -13.6 | +22.2 |
| East 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 13% | 11% | 14% | 63% | 0.0 | +1.9 | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 2,000 | 13% | 11% | 13% | 63% | -8.1 | +6.0 | -1.1 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 7,700 from Murakami Jun | 6% | 13% | 12% | 70% | -19.0 | +22.4 | +0.1 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 26% | 11% | 61% | -3.8 | -16.3 | -4.9 | +25.0 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 2% | 4% | 93% | +22.0 | +3.3 | -27.4 | +2.1 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -4.2 | -4.2 | -3.9 | +12.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.6 | +5.2 | -8.8 | -1.1 |